TN Visa Approval Rate For October 2026: Latest Statistics, Trends, and What Applicants Should Know

October 2026 Update: USCIS does not publish monthly TN approval rates. The 94.9% figure below is the latest official USCIS dataset available, covering October 2024 through June 2025. 

If you’re searching for the TN visa approval rate in October 2026, it leads to many different numbers because there is no single government statistic that represents the approval chances of every TN applicant.

USCIS publishes data on TN-related Form I-129 petitions, while the US Department of State publishes statistics on TN visa applications and visa issuance. Canadian citizens also have a different process because they generally do not need to obtain a TN visa from a US consulate before seeking admission to the United States.

To navigate these varying standards and present a rock-solid case at the border or consulate, you can hire our expert service to Order Your TN Visa Expert Opinion Letter tailored to your specific professional qualification.

What Is The TN Visa Approval Rate For October 2026?

In October 2026, USCIS still hasn’t published the official TN visa approval rate; they have released historical TN approval rate data between “Oct 1, 2024” and “June 30, 2025″. This data covers total petitions received, approved, denied, total completions and the approval rate.

This data is from an earlier period; it should not be considered as the approval rate for October 2026. The USCIS historical data for TN approval statistics appears below.

Latest TN Visa Approval Statistics Available in 2026

Here is the historical data from Oct 2024 to June 2025, along with the complete data for this period:

What Are The TN Visa Approval Rate Trends Over Recent Years?

USCIS records show that TN Form I-129 petitions have had high approval percentages in the reporting periods below. 

The approval percentage was 91.1% in the earlier period and 94.9% in the more recent period. USCIS reports these numbers for completed petitions, including both initial and extension filings.

These percentages are based on specific reporting periods. So you shouldn’t assume the approval chances for your case.

Is the TN Visa Approval Rate High For 2026?

Yes, USCIS data shows a high approval percentage for TN petitions.

The percentage increased from 91.1% in October 2016 to June 2023 to 94.9% from October 2024 to June 2025.

But USCIS still hasn’t released the TN approval rate for 2026. For now, the 94.9% figure is the latest USCIS approval percentage available. Once USCIS publishes newer 2026 data, it will give a clearer picture of how TN approval rates are doing this year.

What IS The USCIS TN Approval Rate vs. Department of State Visa Statistics?

USCIS TN Approval Rate vs. Department of State Visa Statistics are not the same.

USCIS Form I-129 statistics measure only petitions that USCIS adjudicates. The relevant TN dataset reports petitions received, initially approved, initially denied, total completions, pending cases, and RFE-related information.

The Department of State, by contrast, publishes visa issuance and refusal statistics for applicants seeking visas through US consular posts.

For FY2024, the State Department reported:

These numbers come from the Department of State’s worldwide NIV workload data.

Using the figures mechanically gives approximately 57.4% issued out of the listed workload, but that should not be presented as the TN visa approval rate. The State Department explains that its refusal figures represent applications that remained in a refused status at the end of the reporting period, and visa statistics have their own reporting methodology.

The State Department figures are not the same population as USCIS’s I-129 petition data.

What Affects TN Visa Approval Chances?

Here are the things that affect your approval chance; the applicant must prove that:

• You are a citizen of Canada or Mexico
• Your profession is included in the USMCA
• The position in the United States requires a USMCA professional
• You will work in a prearranged full-time or part-time job for a US employer or entity
• You have the qualifications to practice in the profession in question.

The applicant’s education should match the profession they plan to work in. The Department of State states that many TN visa professions require a bachelor’s degree, while some accept other qualifications or require relevant work experience.

The employment letter should clearly explain the job title, duties, reason for entering the US, expected length of stay, the applicant’s qualifications, and the terms of pay.

Is the TN approval rate the same for Canadian and Mexican applicants?

There is no separate TN approval rate published for Canadian or Mexican citizens.

Canadian citizens do not need a TN visa; they can request TN status when applying for admission at an eligible US port of entry or designated pre-clearance location. US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reviews their documents and decides whether they meet the requirements for TN status.

Mexican citizens need a TN visa before travelling to the United States; they apply through a US embassy or consulate in Mexico. After the visa is issued, they can travel to the United States and request admission as a TN professional.

Conclusion

Applicants should not rely on a claimed official October 2026 TN approval percentage, because no such nationwide USCIS approval rate is currently established by the published statistics reviewed for this article.

The latest USCIS TN data available for this analysis shows a 94.9% approval percentage among completed Form I-129 TN petitions from October 1, 2024, through June 30, 2025.

The Department of State’s FY2024 TN visa statistics provide a separate picture of visa issuance and refusal activity, but those figures cannot be combined with USCIS petition data to create a universal TN approval rate.

TN Visa Approval Rate: Is 94.9% Your Guarantee for September 2026?

While historical USCIS data shows strong approval rates for USMCA professionals, eligibility depends entirely on your qualifying profession, education, and job offer. Understand the key differences between Canadian and Mexican application pathways.

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